FanBoardHQ

Sam Houston

Sam Houston State University · 2024 · Conference USA

FanBoardHQ CFP
#56
Efficiency
-7.4
96th FBS
Record
10-3
Conf. record
6-2
Conf. finish
T-2nd
of 10
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Sam Houston went 10-3 and was ranked 56th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 58th-ranked defense carried them, with a 120th-ranked offense. They ran the ball on 57% of offensive plays with an 110th-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 43% of plays with a 104th-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-0
Q2
0-1
Q3
1-1
Q4
9-1

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Expected: 10.0 wins
Strength of Record
43rd
-1.4 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
127th
full season
127th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
124th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~7.5 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1@ RiceAmerican Athletic#109W 3414-0.7100%16.2Q4
2@ UCFBig 12#86L 1445-15.90%-25.0Q2
3vs Hawai'iMountain West#105W 3113+8.3100%1.9Q4
4vs New Mexico StateConference USA#127W 3111+19.4100%-4.8Q4
5vs Texas StateSun Belt#63W 4039-10.1100%3.3Q3
6@ UTEPConference USA#126W 4121+12.1100%2.3Q4
8vs Western KentuckyConference USA#80L 1431+2.00%-27.5Q4
9vs FIUConference USA#115W 107+4.3100%-8.3Q4
10vs Louisiana TechConference USA#111W 93+9.2100%-10.6Q4
12@ Kennesaw StateConference USA#132W 2317+13.8100%-20.2Q4
13@ Jacksonville StateConference USA#69L 1121-6.80%-13.5Q3
14vs LibertyConference USA#85W 2018+6.4100%-12.4Q4
Postseason
vs Georgia SouthernSun Belt#62W 3126-4.7100%2.6Q4

13 played · 10-3. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Sam Houston, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-24.0-5.7+12.716-252-532-28-8-11-20-13-12Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 104th
SR 88thYPP 110thEPA 103rd
RushingEff 110th
SR 105thYPP 107thEPA 106th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 36th
SR 79thYPP 26thEPA 29th
Rush defenseEff 102nd
SR 94thYPP 82ndEPA 110th
Dropback rate 43%Tempo +5.7 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 85th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 39%1st · Defense allowed: 45%1st2nd · Offense: 39%2nd · Defense allowed: 39%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 42%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 41%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 41.0Q1 · Allowed: 48.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 110.0Q2 · Allowed: 67.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 83.0Q3 · Allowed: 62.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 60.0Q4 · Allowed: 73.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledSam HoustonOffenseDefense
Sam Houston Offense vs Defense, 2024
Offensive EffRanked 120th
-8.3
Field position: -0.1Finishing drives: -8.3
Field position -0.1Finishing drives -8.3= -8.3
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 68th · Finishing 121st

Defensive EffRanked 58th
+1.5
Field position: -0.4Finishing drives: +1.9
Field position -0.4Finishing drives +1.9= +1.5
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 88th · Finishing 54th

1.84 points per drive on offense, 1.65 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 32.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(183)43% / 57%35%4.6
Q2(251)47% / 53%43%5.6
Q3(212)42% / 58%44%5.9
Q4(238)37% / 63%37%4.4
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(137)10.141%6.2
2nd(112)8.342%5.2
3rd(118)7.335%4.8
4th(6)6.333%2.2
All (373)39%5.4
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(234)9.738%4.9
2nd(188)6.737%4.7
3rd(75)5.345%5.8
4th(14)1.486%4.4
All (511)40%5.0

Sam Houston, all games.